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Kent Redding

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Labor Market - Texas Tough

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

According to the Texas Real Estate Center in a report dated November, 27 2007 the Texas economy is cooling but still generating more jobs than the U.S. average. Texas non-farm employment rose 2 percent from October 2006 to October 2007 compared with the 1.2 annual growth rate of non-farm employment for the United States.

The state’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell from 4.8 percent in October 2006 to 4.1 percent in October 2007.

The state’s mining industry ranked first in job creation, followed by professional and business services, leisure and hospitality, and financial activities.

All Texas metro areas reported positive employment growth rates from October 2006 to October 2007. McAllen-Edinburg-Mission ranked first in job creation, followed by Austin–Round Rock, Lubbock, Dallas-Plano-Irving and Midland.

Midland had the lowest unemployment rate, followed by Amarillo, Lubbock, Odessa, College Station–Bryan, Abilene and Austin–Round Rock.

For a copy of the full report click here:  http://recenter.tamu.edu/econ/EconReview1007.pdf

Austin Weekly Real Estate Update

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

Hey it's just another Ditto Week. The theme is close to past weeks.

 

The number of active listings in Austin are hovering around 25% up over last year and this week is no diifferent.  We show a 26.38% this week over the same week in 2006.  Last week it was 25.51%.

 

On the same note:  New listings seem to be resting above last years numbers while the pending and solds are remaining below every week.  This week is continuing along that same beat.

 

New listings are up while pending and sold homes are down compared to sales for the same week in 2006.

 

Please review the numbers and browse our site for additional information on the current market.

The Austin Real Estate Week in Review
(compared to the same week in 2006)
New listings up 75.14% (yes that's correct!)
Pendings are down 14.62%
Solds down 15.76%
 
As for Average Prices: Nov 18 - Nov 24, 2007
(compared to the same week in 2006)
The "New Listings" average list price increased 14.56% to $285,814. 
In 2006 the new listing average list price was 249,485.
 
Sold average sales prices decreased 1.63% to $236,228.
In 2006 it was $240,140 for the same week.
Did You Know...?

That we had 8,773 active listings during the same week in 2006?  Today there are 11,087 active listings!  That is a 26.38% increase from 2006.

 

So how does this affect you?  Well you need to ask your Realtor to Check out the "Months of Inventory" in your desired area to get the details for your MLS area and price range. We are always more then happy to provide that info for anyone looking to buy or sell a home.

Stop reading...Buy Austin Now!

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

Real estate is local.  That's not news.  What is news is how buyers sometimes don’t get that message.

Oftentimes we counsel our buyers and get the feedback that they are just going to wait and buy "at the bottom" so they're just going to sit on the sidelines.

Buyers state that they are waiting for prices to go down more and they don't want to buy a house today that they perceive will be worth less six months from now.

 

There is no data in the Austin Real Estate market that supports this logic and this is contrary to the ever reality in our current market.  And YES, we do let our buyers know.  That is our job as market professionals to educate our buyers, sellers and investors.

Where do consumers get such information?  They get it from so many different sources that it's hard to keep up.  They get it from the newspaper (The Statesman did a story a few weeks ago on slowing home sales), television news, the radio, certainly reading about a national mortgage/home/foreclosure crisis in stories and from the Internet.

The fact is that bad housing news is everywhere.

But it's simply NOT here in Austin


Home sales are slowing but that's to be expected.  It's November for crying out loud. Home prices, however, are not.  In fact, they're rising.  In a

 

Realty Times article today by Blanche Evans the new NAR economist pointed out that the national housing economy isn't nearly as bad as it's being pointed out.

"Many areas of the country including Salt Lake City and Austin, Texas, are seeing double-digit appreciation and other areas "from the Rocky Mountain states to Appalachia, have undervalued home prices." the article pointed out.  According to Money Magazine Austin Home prices rose 7.2% in the 3rd Quarter 2007 to $188,200.

We know this first-hand.  Almost every single appraisal we are seeing is appraising out at least 5 - 10% above last year's sales price.

When buyers use national data to make a local decision they're being led in the wrong direction.  Is it possible our local Austin economy can go into a deep recession right now and drop home prices by 20-30%?

Yes, it's possible.  Anything is possible.  My teenage daughter could clean her room and make her bed every single day but it ain't gonna happen.

Home prices are rising.  Our Austin economy is strong, interest rates are at relative lows and there is quite a bit of housing inventory on the market.  This all leads to the perfect “Real Estate Buying Sweet Spot”. Now is the time for active buyers to purchase, not wait. 

FICO Scores for your next Suburban & your next Suburban home....

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer
FICO based scoring of loans is common place in the auto finance world and has become prevalent in the subprime mortgage game, but Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have just introduced FICO based scoring of loans to conventional home financing.
  
On November 20, 2007 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announced loan price increases for borrowers with credit scores below 680 on loans with Loan to Value (LTV) ratios greater than 70%.  As outlined in an Fannie Mae - Investor Conference Call Mike Quinn, SVP Single-Family Risk Officer for Fannie Mae said, "we announced a meaningful, across-the-board increase on loans having credit scores below 680 and LTVs above 70%. These changes in underwriting and pricing will help control losses and maintain appropriate levels of profitability through this cycle."
  
And in a news bullentin dated November, 15 2007 and posted on the Freddie Mac website, Freddie Mac indicated they will be charging from .75% up to 2.0% depending on the borrower's credit score for loans submitted with more than a 70% LTV and credit scores below 680.   
The following table illustrates the rates and costs for a borrower with a loan amount of $300,000.
  
Credit Score
Delivery Fee Rate
Cost
Below 620
2.00%
$6,000
620-639
1.75%
$5,250
640-659
1.25%
$3,750
660-679
0.75%
$2,250
 
Clearly it won't take much to add up quickly. Welcome to the financing world of GM, Ford, Honda and that resale home down the street.

Monday Morning Austin Weekly Real Estate Update Nov.4-9

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

Here is your Monday Morning Weekly Real Estate Update for Austin. It shows new listings are up a little from last year and the sold units is a little less too. The interesting statistic here is that the number of expired listings has risen. This is due to seller's not being realistic in pricing their homes or they are bad condition. The majority of the expired listings are in the $350,000 to $500,000 price range. The homes priced under $250,000
are selling consistently.

Austin Weekly Real Estate Update for Oct.28-Nov.3

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer
The number of active listings are up 25.61% this week over the same week in 2006.
New listings are up this week, while pending and sold homes are down compared to sales for the same week in 2006.
Please review the numbers and browse our site for additional information on the current market.

The Week in Review
(compared to the same week in 2006)
New listings up 24.90%
Pendings are down 14.72%
Solds down 4.86%
 
As for Average Prices:
(compared to the same week in 2006)
The "New Listings" average list price decreased 2.16% to $285,033. 
In 2006 the new listing average list price was 291,340.
 
Sold average sales prices increased 5.96% to $251,793.
In 2006 it was $237,629 for the same week.
 
We had 9,033 active listings during the same week in 2006? Today there are 11,346 active listings! That is a 25.61% increase from 2006.

The Month in Review
October 2007
 
Units for Sale:
(compared to the same month in 2006)
New listings are up by 13.92%.
Pendings are up 3.37%.
Solds decreased by 17.26%.
 
As for Average Prices:
The "New Listings" average list price is up 14.47% to 306,739.
Sold average sales prices increased 6.24% to $239,726 compared to $225,654 in 2006.
 

While the weekly numbers only give us a narrow view of the market, Our analysis is that while the overall numbers of sold homes is down from last year. The average sales price is still rising. However there are more homes for sale and that will have an impact on the pricing for areas where there are a lot of homes for sale. Sellers are still to price their homes so that they are 10-20% below the competition if they want a quick sale. Buyers can have more leverage in areas where there a lot of homes for sale.

Austin Real Estate Housing Inventory for October 2007

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer
Here is a snapshot of local Real Estate inventory. The table represents aggregated values based on MLS data for the specified date of October 2007.

Housing Inventory Snapshot October, 2007
  Average List Price Median List Price Average Days On Market
Travis County, TX
Single Family under $400K $228,123 $216,750 75
Single Family over $400K $920,981 $635,000 115
Condo/Townhome under $300K $180,661 $174,000 126
Condo/Townhome over $300K $499,097 $430,000 122
Williamson County, TX
Single Family under $200K $155,550 $158,900 71
Single Family over $200K $364,446 $299,900 86
Condo/Townhome under $150K $120,687 $123,565 63
Condo/Townhome over $150K $207,264 $189,500 132
Hays County, TX
Single Family under $300K $194,549 $185,000 76
Single Family over $300K $543,825 $477,224 113
Condo/Townhome under $100K N/A N/A N/A
Condo/Townhome over $100K $229,484 $232,500 209
Bastrop County, TX
Single Family under $200K $134,792 $137,000 82
Single Family over $200K $330,235 $289,900 90
Condo/Townhome under $80K N/A N/A N/A
Condo/Townhome over $80K N/A N/A N/A

MORTGAGE. National Averages (October 31, 07)*
30-year fixed Rate - 5.91% APR - 6.1%
15-year fixed Rate - 5.54% APR - 5.83%
5/1 ARM Rate - 5.63% APR - 6.64%

* Mortgage rates were collected from publicly available sources (yahoo.com) on the date stated. The accuracy of the information and the availability of these rates are not guaranteed by the publisher. Rates are provided for informational purposes only and are subject to change without notice. Actual market interest rates may vary.

If you know someone who is considering buying or selling a home, please give me a call. I will provide professional & courteous service along with knowledgeable guidance through the process.


Fed Cut is Good News for Those Who Act Fast

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

Today the Fed announced its second consecutive decrease in rates, cutting another 0.25% from the Fed Funds Rate. This change could directly impact millions of American borrowers.

Are you one of them?

Adjustable Rate Mortgages
If you currently have an ARM that is scheduled to reset in the next 14 months, then today's news is good for you. Now is the time to investigate your options. Even if you have a pre-payment penalty or you're behind in your payments, don't delay. There may still be options available to get you out of your ARM and into a mortgage you can afford, including FHA or the new FHASecure program introduced by the President.

Important: The FOMC does not meet in November, so ask yourself this: Can you really afford to roll the dice until its next meeting in mid-December?

Buying at the Bottom of the Market
We know many buyers are waitng for prices to fall here in Austin, Texas. But we aren't seeing a market that is declining on pricing.
 If you're looking to invest in real estate in the next six to twelve months, and recent rate cuts have inspired you to start taking action, now is the time to prepare yourself for intense credit scrutiny. There are a lot of great real estate deals to be had today. But if your credit doesn't stand up in today's tight-fisted credit environment, then you could easily miss out on an exceptional opportunity.

What's the point of taking advantage of discounted home prices if you can't qualify for the right mortgage or interest rate that makes it all worthwhile? Get pre-approved now and know exactly what you can afford. And with the right REALTOR® on your side, you can have incredible negotiating power in a buyers' market!

Refinancing – Know Your Options
While rate cuts often spark ideas of refinancing, this may not be the best choice for everyone. In some cases – especially in a market where home values are declining – refinancing may be impossible or disadvantageous. Contact us for a free mortgage review. Based on your individual goals and financial needs, we can explore every available option for you and your family.

Austin Real Estate Weekly Update for Oct.21-Oct.27, 2007

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

The number of ACTIVE listings are up 26.92% this week over the same week in 2006.

 

New listings are up this week, while Pending and Sold homes are down compared to sales for the same week in 2006.

 

Please call Kent or Terrill if you would like to discuss how this changing market effects YOU.

 

The Week in Review

(compared to the same week in 2006)

New listings up 8.79%

Pendings are down 23.35%

Solds down 40.21%

 

As for Average Prices: Oct 21- Oct 27, 2007

(compared to the same week in 2006)

The "New Listings" average list price increased 29.88% to $325,750.  In 2006 the new listing average list price was 250,810.

 

Sold average sales prices increased 13.99% to $256,804.

In 2006 it was $225,284 for the same week.

 

 

The Month in Review

 

Units for Sale:

(compared to the same month in 2006)

New listings are up by 19.21%.

Pendings are down 22.96%.

Solds decreased by 29.17%.

 

As for Average Prices:

The "New Listings" average list price is up 19.58% to 317,707.

Sold average sales prices increased 12.67% to $253,062 compared to $224,614 in 2006.

New First Time Homebuyer Programs

by Kent Redding & Terrill Fischer

Texas Department of Housing and Community Affairs (TDHCA) has released $160 million in homebuyer funds through its popular First Time Homebuyer Program which offers home loans with interest rates beginning as low as 5.75 percent for qualifying first time homebuyers.

Loans through this program are available in two forms: unassisted loans, with no additional funds for down payment and closing costs; and assisted loans, which come with a 5 percent grant for down payment and closing cost assistance. The grant is offered to qualifying households earning no more than 60 percent of the area median family income (AMFI).  The AMFI as of May 2007 for Austin-Round 1-2 person household is $71,700.

Interest rates range from 5.75 percent for statewide unassisted loans to 6.50 percent for assisted loans statewide. The program is designed to serve households earning no more than 115 percent of the area median family income, depending on the number of individuals in the family. Click here to see if you qualify

TDHCA also is providing a special highlight with this release of funds as it is waiving certain program requirements for Texas veterans. Through the end of the year, qualified veterans who are not first time homebuyers will be eligible to participate in the loan program.

Displaying blog entries 181-190 of 237